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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+8.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+7.95vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+4.77vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.35+9.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+2.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.55+2.17vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.20+2.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+1.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+1.10vs Predicted
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113.24-1.30vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-2.82vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-3.24vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-2.73vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.06-4.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.02vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.09vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.49-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.01Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.17Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.53Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.73.240.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.76Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.27College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 26.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Scott Houck | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.