← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.97+6.01vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.97+2.29vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.18+3.57vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.60+4.98vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.01+2.27vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.69+0.72vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.37vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University0.16+1.83vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.05-2.35vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.83-2.45vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University0.73-3.25vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.26-5.62vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College0.05-6.06vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.99-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.01Boston University0.976.2%1st Place
-
4.29Boston College1.9718.4%1st Place
-
6.57Tufts University1.187.5%1st Place
-
8.98University of Rhode Island0.603.3%1st Place
-
7.27Boston University1.016.8%1st Place
-
6.72Northeastern University1.698.0%1st Place
-
5.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5511.2%1st Place
-
9.83Harvard University0.162.9%1st Place
-
6.65University of Vermont1.058.4%1st Place
-
7.55Salve Regina University0.836.3%1st Place
-
7.75Fairfield University0.735.5%1st Place
-
6.38University of Rhode Island1.268.7%1st Place
-
6.94Bowdoin College0.056.7%1st Place
-
13.46Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 0.5% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 5.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.