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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+8.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.13vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+8.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.33vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70+2.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+1.75vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+1.55vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20+0.71vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+0.17vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.38vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.95vs Predicted
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133.24-3.58vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.19-4.59vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.55-6.90vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.06-5.62vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.77-5.24vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.35-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.55Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.423.240.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.38College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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11.76Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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13.04Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Reed Baldridge | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.