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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.69+5.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+4.28vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.83+4.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+2.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.60+2.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05-0.24vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05-2.36vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.16-1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.97-7.55vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.01-5.46vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Northeastern University1.698.8%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island1.269.0%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University0.836.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.188.4%1st Place
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7.13Boston University0.976.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island0.604.5%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College0.057.7%1st Place
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7.86Fairfield University0.735.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Vermont1.058.1%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5512.1%1st Place
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9.79Harvard University0.163.0%1st Place
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4.45Boston College1.9715.7%1st Place
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7.54Boston University1.015.3%1st Place
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13.4Middlebury College-1.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 26.1% | 5.8% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.