← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.70+6.79vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.06+8.57vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.80+4.34vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.77+7.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.41+3.73vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.19+3.81vs Predicted
-
73.24+2.57vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.49+0.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.95+1.82vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.16+0.18vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.23-1.27vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.21-1.93vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.35+0.09vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.20-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.22vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.24vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy3.74-9.38vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College3.55-10.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.79Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.57College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
-
7.34Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
11.43Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.73University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.81Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.573.240.1%1st Place
-
8.39Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.82University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
10.18Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
9.73Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.07Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
13.09Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
-
9.39Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.62U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.93Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Reed Baldridge | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 24.9% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.