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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.69+5.61vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.97+5.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.26+2.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.60+1.87vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.18-1.44vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.05-2.08vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.73-2.20vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.83-3.30vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.01-4.76vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.16-3.17vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Northeastern University1.698.5%1st Place
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7.15Boston University0.977.0%1st Place
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4.36Boston College1.9716.4%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island1.269.8%1st Place
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5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5510.9%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont1.058.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island0.604.0%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University1.187.5%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College0.057.0%1st Place
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7.8Fairfield University0.736.2%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University0.835.3%1st Place
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7.24Boston University1.016.8%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University0.162.4%1st Place
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13.39Middlebury College-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 16.4% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 3.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 1.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 26.7% | 5.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.