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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+8.93vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.35+11.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+6.82vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+3.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70+2.51vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.06+4.34vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.47vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+3.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+0.14vs Predicted
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113.24-1.32vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.92vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-6.25vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.55-8.64vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.21-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
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13.52Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.82Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.5Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.683.240.1%1st Place
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11.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 26.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% |
| Scott Houck | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% |
| Mary Hall | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.