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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+4.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+1.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.01+3.52vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.69+1.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.60+1.92vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73-0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05-2.41vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.05-3.25vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-4.71vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.16-2.27vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-5.29vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Boston University0.976.9%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island1.268.6%1st Place
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4.31Boston College1.9718.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University1.015.9%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University1.698.1%1st Place
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5.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.5510.2%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island0.603.7%1st Place
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7.94Fairfield University0.734.5%1st Place
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6.59University of Vermont1.058.6%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College0.057.5%1st Place
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6.29Tufts University1.188.8%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University0.162.8%1st Place
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7.71Salve Regina University0.836.1%1st Place
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13.48Middlebury College-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 2.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 1.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 27.4% | 5.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.