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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+6.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+3.09vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.77+6.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+3.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.20+2.24vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+1.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.51+2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.16vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.19-5.02vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.06-5.19vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.35-3.07vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.93-6.41vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-9.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.4Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.09Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.01Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.46U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.98Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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12.93Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Charles Peck | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 17.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 22.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.