Race 10A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Elliott 11.8% 10.7% 10.2% 11.9% 10.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.4% 6.3% 5.9% 4.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Zachary Champney 8.6% 8.8% 9.9% 8.6% 8.2% 9.4% 7.5% 8.0% 7.6% 7.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.4% 0.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 6.2% 7.8% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.9% 8.4% 7.9% 8.9% 8.5% 8.0% 7.3% 5.3% 0.9%
Adrien Bellanger 8.3% 7.9% 7.5% 9.2% 7.2% 8.2% 10.5% 8.8% 7.6% 7.1% 7.2% 5.7% 4.2% 0.4%
John (Jack) Plavan 16.2% 14.6% 15.4% 12.3% 10.7% 9.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Adrian van der Wal 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 8.1% 7.4% 5.3% 3.1% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.0% 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 8.8% 6.7% 1.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 8.7% 8.7% 9.9% 9.2% 9.8% 8.2% 0.9%
Wilson Kaznoski 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 8.9% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 9.1% 0.8%
Meghan Haviland 4.2% 4.0% 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 5.4% 6.4% 6.5% 6.5% 9.2% 9.9% 14.3% 17.3% 3.0%
Calvin Lamosse 8.5% 8.4% 8.0% 7.1% 9.2% 9.2% 7.6% 7.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.1% 6.5% 4.5% 0.4%
Benjamin Stevens 6.6% 8.1% 7.1% 7.7% 8.5% 7.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 5.1% 0.4%
Paul Kuechler 2.8% 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 6.5% 8.4% 10.5% 13.6% 25.6% 5.8%
Evelyn Lane 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 5.8% 86.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.