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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+8.36vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+5.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.92vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.06+5.73vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+7.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.16+2.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+1.12vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.93+1.47vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.57vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.19-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-2.80vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.20-5.03vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.51-2.87vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.83vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-9.37vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.77-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.92Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.73College of Charleston3.060.1%1st Place
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12.68Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.47Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.53Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Naval Academy2.510.0%1st Place
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9.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.0Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Reed Baldridge | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 22.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Charles Peck | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.