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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+1.41vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.39+0.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.37+1.54vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.48+1.84vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.89+1.75vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.01-1.90vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.65-2.18vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.64-0.86vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Roger Williams University1.5533.3%1st Place
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2.53Roger Williams University1.3930.9%1st Place
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4.54Brown University0.378.3%1st Place
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5.84Boston University-0.484.6%1st Place
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6.75Amherst College-0.892.9%1st Place
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5.98Fairfield University-0.434.7%1st Place
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5.1Northeastern University0.016.9%1st Place
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5.82Bates College-0.655.0%1st Place
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8.14Salve Regina University-1.641.8%1st Place
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7.88University of New Hampshire-1.411.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Connor McHugh | 33.3% | 27.3% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Edward Herman | 30.9% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
Sage Andrews | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
James Knowlton | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
Jane Matthews | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
Isabella Cho | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
Greta Shuster | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
Olivia Blackmer | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 40.8% |
Devyn Weed | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.