← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 33.3% 27.3% 19.2% 10.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Edward Herman 30.9% 26.6% 18.4% 12.8% 6.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 8.3% 11.8% 15.0% 16.0% 15.5% 13.8% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 0.7%
Sage Andrews 4.6% 5.1% 9.5% 9.7% 13.4% 14.5% 16.4% 12.8% 9.4% 4.6%
James Knowlton 2.9% 4.5% 4.9% 7.2% 10.2% 11.3% 12.5% 16.8% 18.6% 11.2%
Jane Matthews 4.7% 5.2% 7.8% 10.3% 12.5% 14.1% 14.6% 13.5% 11.3% 5.9%
Isabella Cho 6.9% 8.7% 11.2% 14.5% 13.8% 14.3% 13.8% 10.0% 5.5% 1.3%
Greta Shuster 5.0% 6.5% 8.6% 10.9% 11.8% 13.5% 14.0% 15.5% 9.5% 4.8%
Olivia Blackmer 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 6.8% 7.5% 11.0% 19.5% 40.8%
Devyn Weed 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 10.0% 13.1% 22.9% 30.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.