← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+3.62vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.53+5.24vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.61+1.62vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.01vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.04+1.21vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.56+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.10-1.27vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.52-3.16vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.91-3.52vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University3.31-5.57vs Predicted
-
12Yale University0.63-0.93vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University0.55-1.87vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-1.41-0.83vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University-1.25-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
-
7.24Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
-
4.62Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
4.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.2%1st Place
-
6.21University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.42Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.73Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
-
4.84Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
-
6.48Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.43Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
11.07Yale University0.630.0%1st Place
-
11.13Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
-
13.17Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
-
13.03Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Oviatt | 13.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 17.3% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Doble | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Fernandez | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 27.5% | 35.8% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 28.5% | 35.5% | 15.1% | 2.8% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 31.4% | 52.8% |
| Emily Bick | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 38.5% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.