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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.15vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+5.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.77+7.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+4.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.41vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.20+2.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.16+1.82vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21+0.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-0.02vs Predicted
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123.24-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-4.39vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.65vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.19-5.26vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.49-7.48vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.06-6.54vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.35-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.73Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.933.240.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.46College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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13.09Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Mary Hall | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.