Race 11A

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adrian van der Wal 7.8% 8.2% 9.3% 7.4% 9.4% 8.8% 8.7% 8.8% 8.0% 8.2% 6.7% 5.9% 2.5% 0.3%
John (Jack) Plavan 18.4% 15.3% 13.3% 11.5% 10.2% 9.7% 7.4% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Calvin Lamosse 8.2% 8.4% 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 8.2% 7.9% 6.9% 5.5% 3.4% 0.2%
Zachary Champney 8.8% 10.0% 8.5% 10.0% 10.4% 8.3% 9.8% 7.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.3% 4.8% 2.6% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 7.1% 7.5% 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 8.3% 7.6% 9.0% 9.7% 8.2% 8.5% 6.6% 4.2% 0.6%
Wilson Kaznoski 5.9% 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.8% 9.8% 7.3% 1.1%
Nathan Selian 5.9% 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 10.3% 8.8% 7.0% 5.2% 1.0%
Meghan Haviland 4.2% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 8.2% 8.9% 11.9% 13.6% 14.0% 2.6%
Adrien Bellanger 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 9.2% 8.5% 9.3% 8.2% 7.6% 8.8% 7.5% 7.0% 4.7% 3.4% 0.4%
Paul Kuechler 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 8.8% 10.3% 14.8% 22.1% 6.0%
Lucy Brock 13.6% 14.9% 12.2% 11.7% 9.6% 9.8% 8.9% 6.0% 5.9% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Preston Anderson 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 14.6% 22.4% 4.3%
Pearl Lattanzi 6.6% 5.9% 7.1% 6.6% 7.1% 7.9% 7.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.0% 7.8% 5.9% 0.9%
Evelyn Lane 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 3.5% 6.5% 82.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.