← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University0.73+6.71vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.69+4.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.60+5.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.05+2.39vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.97+1.91vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.01+1.19vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.18-0.53vs Predicted
-
8Boston College1.97-3.78vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College0.15+0.55vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.04vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.26-4.95vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University0.83-4.34vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University0.16-3.36vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.99-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.71Fairfield University0.735.5%1st Place
-
6.34Northeastern University1.697.6%1st Place
-
8.56University of Rhode Island0.604.8%1st Place
-
6.39University of Vermont1.058.2%1st Place
-
6.91Boston University0.977.3%1st Place
-
7.19Boston University1.016.8%1st Place
-
6.47Tufts University1.188.5%1st Place
-
4.22Boston College1.9717.2%1st Place
-
9.55Bowdoin College0.153.1%1st Place
-
4.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6313.6%1st Place
-
6.05University of Rhode Island1.269.0%1st Place
-
7.66Salve Regina University0.835.3%1st Place
-
9.64Harvard University0.162.9%1st Place
-
13.36Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 2.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 17.2% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 4.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 23.1% | 5.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.