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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+9.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+6.88vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+5.64vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55+3.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+3.92vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+1.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.64vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.70-1.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-2.59vs Predicted
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113.24-1.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-3.17vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.35+0.04vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.64vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-4.21vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.06-5.63vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.20-7.12vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.21-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.89Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.88Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.11Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.92Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.673.240.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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13.04Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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10.37College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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9.88Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Mary Hall | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 24.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.