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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.69+5.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+2.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.80vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+2.41vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.97+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.26+0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01+0.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.18-1.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83-1.47vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.73-2.42vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.15-1.45vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.16-2.43vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.99+0.40vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.60-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Northeastern University1.699.0%1st Place
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4.16Boston College1.9717.4%1st Place
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4.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6313.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Vermont1.058.3%1st Place
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6.84Boston University0.977.6%1st Place
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6.29University of Rhode Island1.268.5%1st Place
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7.2Boston University1.016.6%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University1.187.1%1st Place
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7.53Salve Regina University0.836.0%1st Place
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7.58Fairfield University0.736.2%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College0.152.9%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University0.163.0%1st Place
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13.4Middlebury College-1.990.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island0.603.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian van der Wal | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
John (Jack) Plavan | 17.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lucy Brock | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Calvin Lamosse | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
Zachary Champney | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Nathan Selian | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
Adrien Bellanger | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Pearl Lattanzi | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
Preston Anderson | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 4.8% |
Paul Kuechler | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 6.0% |
Evelyn Lane | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 82.5% |
Meghan Haviland | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.