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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+7.89vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+5.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+5.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+2.77vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.64vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.55+0.13vs Predicted
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93.24+0.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16-0.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.21-1.95vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.77-1.58vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.20-4.61vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.70-7.52vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.35-2.69vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.06-6.53vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.95-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.89Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.69Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.13Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.523.240.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.31Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.47College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 25.0% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.