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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+10.70vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+7.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.38vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.19+5.70vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+4.51vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.70+1.52vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21+0.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+0.16vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.55-2.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.70vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.06-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-4.23vs Predicted
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163.24-6.40vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.18vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.20-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.7Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.51Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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13.06Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.03College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.63.240.0%1st Place
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10.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 14.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 24.9% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.