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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+3.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.26+4.22vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.69+3.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+1.48vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.97+0.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.16+2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.60+0.73vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.73-1.32vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.01-2.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-4.57vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.15-2.50vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-5.42vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Boston College1.9717.6%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island1.268.2%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University1.698.8%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.6314.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont1.057.9%1st Place
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6.85Boston University0.978.3%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University0.162.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island0.604.2%1st Place
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7.68Fairfield University0.734.7%1st Place
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7.16Boston University1.017.0%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University1.188.2%1st Place
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9.5Bowdoin College0.153.8%1st Place
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7.58Salve Regina University0.834.8%1st Place
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13.38Middlebury College-1.990.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John (Jack) Plavan | 17.6% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 4.7% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Preston Anderson | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 22.5% | 4.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.