Race 1B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Rosenberg 19.3% 16.0% 13.6% 13.2% 11.5% 9.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Miles Williams 16.9% 15.8% 14.0% 13.1% 10.8% 9.6% 7.4% 5.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 9.2% 9.3% 10.1% 10.6% 9.6% 10.3% 9.3% 10.1% 7.5% 6.2% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 14.0% 12.7% 13.7% 11.1% 11.9% 9.4% 9.0% 6.2% 5.5% 3.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 6.7% 7.7% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.3% 8.3% 4.5% 0.4%
Molly Hanrahan 3.1% 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.9% 9.0% 8.5% 11.3% 11.8% 13.0% 8.9% 1.1%
Caleb Niles 11.5% 12.4% 11.6% 10.1% 10.3% 10.3% 9.7% 7.8% 6.2% 4.9% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Renato Korzinek 3.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.9% 6.8% 9.0% 9.6% 11.0% 11.1% 11.2% 9.7% 1.4%
Nicholas Hardy 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 9.7% 9.2% 10.5% 11.5% 9.4% 9.8% 6.8% 0.8%
Raymond Huffman 1.1% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 5.4% 7.5% 9.3% 13.8% 33.5% 8.8%
Matthew Cabot 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 4.3% 4.8% 5.8% 6.4% 6.5% 8.8% 10.1% 13.0% 14.1% 12.6% 1.9%
Alex Kitay 4.7% 5.8% 5.4% 8.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.5% 10.2% 9.3% 8.8% 4.9% 0.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.8% 4.8% 5.3% 7.1% 8.4% 9.2% 10.0% 13.9% 12.3% 10.2% 2.0%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 2.0% 3.1% 7.4% 83.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.