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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.41vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+7.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+8.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+3.50vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+3.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.06+4.34vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.35+6.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.65vs Predicted
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93.24+0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19+0.03vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.24vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-1.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.77-1.59vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.55-6.14vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.16vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.21-6.28vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-7.28vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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13.18Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.563.240.0%1st Place
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10.03Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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9.72Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Scott Houck | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Reed Baldridge | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 24.0% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.