Race 2B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Rosenberg 17.9% 17.4% 15.4% 12.6% 10.3% 8.1% 6.5% 5.6% 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 5.0% 5.9% 7.5% 7.0% 5.9% 8.2% 9.6% 8.4% 9.3% 9.7% 10.1% 6.8% 5.5% 1.0%
Matthew Cabot 3.6% 2.4% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 12.8% 14.4% 13.7% 1.8%
Molly Hanrahan 3.9% 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 7.1% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 11.5% 10.9% 8.9% 1.7%
Caleb Niles 10.7% 11.0% 9.7% 11.8% 12.5% 9.0% 9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Nicholas Hardy 4.0% 4.7% 5.6% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 10.0% 11.6% 10.9% 10.8% 7.8% 0.5%
Alex Kitay 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.3% 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.7% 9.3% 10.4% 8.1% 7.6% 5.2% 0.4%
Renato Korzinek 4.1% 4.5% 5.0% 4.7% 5.6% 7.3% 6.7% 8.3% 10.6% 11.4% 10.6% 11.9% 8.1% 1.3%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 2.2% 3.9% 6.5% 81.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.9% 4.2% 3.6% 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.7% 8.3% 8.5% 10.9% 12.9% 12.3% 10.2% 1.2%
Raymond Huffman 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 6.2% 7.4% 9.6% 15.2% 32.5% 10.0%
Matthew Wallace 13.8% 13.7% 11.8% 10.1% 11.2% 10.2% 9.6% 7.5% 5.7% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Miles Williams 16.6% 15.3% 15.6% 14.1% 10.0% 8.6% 8.0% 5.0% 3.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 9.0% 10.4% 8.6% 10.2% 10.2% 11.6% 10.2% 9.2% 7.1% 5.7% 4.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.