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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+9.95vs Predicted
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23.24+7.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+4.76vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+4.68vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.35+8.07vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.70vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21+1.60vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16+0.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-3.44vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-3.13vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-3.43vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.19-4.51vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.77-3.46vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.06-5.59vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-7.27vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.823.240.0%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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13.07Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.16Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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9.95Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston3.060.0%1st Place
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9.73Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 26.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| IG Schottlaender | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Mary Hall | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Reed Baldridge | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.