Race 3B

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Francis Selldorff 9.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.1% 9.9% 11.3% 9.7% 8.5% 8.0% 5.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 10.4% 11.9% 10.6% 10.9% 11.3% 11.8% 9.5% 7.7% 6.8% 4.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Miles Williams 18.1% 15.8% 14.9% 13.3% 11.5% 8.2% 6.0% 5.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.2% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8% 8.4% 4.9% 0.7%
Ben Rosenberg 17.2% 15.2% 14.9% 14.2% 11.5% 8.6% 6.8% 4.2% 3.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Hardy 5.0% 4.2% 6.1% 4.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.8% 10.1% 10.2% 12.3% 9.7% 6.9% 0.8%
Matthew Wallace 14.2% 13.2% 12.5% 11.7% 9.7% 10.2% 8.9% 8.4% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Molly Hanrahan 3.1% 5.0% 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 5.9% 7.6% 8.3% 9.2% 10.5% 11.7% 11.9% 9.8% 1.0%
Alex Kitay 4.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.9% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 10.5% 7.6% 4.6% 0.5%
Matthew Cabot 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 4.9% 5.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 11.7% 12.2% 14.6% 13.0% 2.4%
Renato Korzinek 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.5% 4.8% 6.2% 7.3% 10.1% 9.6% 11.5% 11.5% 11.2% 9.4% 1.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 11.7% 10.8% 12.8% 9.9% 1.3%
Raymond Huffman 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 6.3% 9.2% 15.2% 32.2% 9.7%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 2.9% 7.6% 82.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.