← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+0.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut-0.18+2.08vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.15-1.19vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.15-1.18vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.04-3.97vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-0.35-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.97Brown University3.010.4%1st Place
-
5.08University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
2.81Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
-
3.82Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
-
2.03Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
-
5.28Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 39.4% | 32.4% | 21.1% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Shane Baker | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 12.5% | 37.7% | 41.7% |
| Mark Gargula | 15.2% | 21.7% | 37.0% | 19.7% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Miranda | 5.9% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 44.5% | 22.2% | 4.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 37.3% | 33.8% | 19.7% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 10.4% | 31.2% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.