Race 4B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caleb Niles 11.3% 10.1% 11.4% 12.0% 10.3% 10.8% 10.7% 7.8% 6.7% 4.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Miles Williams 18.1% 14.1% 14.8% 12.0% 11.2% 9.6% 8.5% 4.3% 2.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 4.9% 5.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.0% 8.3% 7.9% 10.4% 9.9% 9.9% 10.4% 7.3% 5.9% 0.6%
Ben Rosenberg 16.9% 17.7% 14.6% 12.2% 10.1% 9.0% 7.9% 5.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 6.3% 5.6% 7.0% 5.8% 7.9% 10.4% 10.8% 10.9% 12.3% 9.7% 2.1%
Nicholas Hardy 3.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.5% 7.8% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.7% 10.0% 7.4% 1.1%
Matthew Wallace 13.0% 12.6% 11.5% 12.9% 10.9% 9.9% 8.9% 7.3% 5.2% 3.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 10.4% 10.8% 10.1% 9.4% 10.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.4% 7.6% 5.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Molly Hanrahan 3.5% 4.4% 3.5% 5.5% 6.4% 5.8% 6.8% 9.5% 8.2% 11.8% 11.1% 12.5% 9.8% 1.3%
Alex Kitay 5.7% 6.7% 7.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.0% 7.1% 9.2% 9.3% 10.4% 9.5% 8.9% 5.2% 0.8%
Raymond Huffman 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 3.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.9% 14.0% 31.9% 9.6%
Renato Korzinek 4.1% 4.2% 4.9% 4.4% 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 10.3% 10.9% 12.5% 11.2% 8.8% 0.8%
Matthew Cabot 3.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.1% 5.2% 5.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 12.4% 14.9% 12.7% 2.2%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 3.0% 6.8% 81.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.