← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.01+1.03vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.15-0.20vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.04-2.04vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.15-1.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut-0.18-0.89vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-0.35-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.03Brown University3.010.4%1st Place
-
2.8Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
-
1.96Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
-
3.83Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.27Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 35.5% | 35.1% | 21.1% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mark Gargula | 16.8% | 21.5% | 34.1% | 21.2% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Casey Gowrie | 39.7% | 32.6% | 20.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 6.1% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 44.2% | 21.3% | 5.2% |
| Shane Baker | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 12.6% | 36.9% | 42.9% |
| Dylan Nelson | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 9.0% | 34.2% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.