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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+3.22vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.24+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+1.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35+0.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.27+2.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.07-0.32vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.50+0.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.08+0.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.78+1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13-1.52vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.10-2.69vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42-4.58vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.18-4.74vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.71-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Rhode Island1.6115.5%1st Place
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5.18Northeastern University1.2412.3%1st Place
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4.12University of Rhode Island1.5918.4%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.3513.2%1st Place
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7.96Boston University0.274.3%1st Place
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5.68Boston College1.079.2%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College0.504.5%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University-0.083.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.782.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont-0.134.2%1st Place
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8.31Boston University0.104.5%1st Place
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7.42Fairfield University0.424.9%1st Place
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8.26Salve Regina University0.183.6%1st Place
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13.42Middlebury College-2.710.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 15.5% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Francis Selldorff | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Cabot | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 1.9% |
| Raymond Huffman | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 32.3% | 8.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 1.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 1.6% |
| Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.