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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+1.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.15+0.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-1.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.15-0.16vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.35+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Brown University3.010.4%1st Place
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2.79Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
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1.96Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
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3.84Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.23Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 35.3% | 35.2% | 20.8% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mark Gargula | 16.8% | 21.4% | 34.2% | 21.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Casey Gowrie | 39.6% | 32.7% | 20.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 6.1% | 7.0% | 15.9% | 44.2% | 21.2% | 5.6% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 32.6% | 50.6% |
| Shane Baker | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 38.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.