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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.15+1.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01-0.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-1.06vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.35+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-0.85vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
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1.98Brown University3.010.4%1st Place
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1.94Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
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5.2Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Gargula | 15.5% | 20.4% | 34.4% | 22.9% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 39.4% | 31.8% | 20.4% | 7.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 39.2% | 35.0% | 19.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Nelson | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 33.6% | 48.9% |
| Shane Baker | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 12.2% | 34.8% | 45.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 4.3% | 8.3% | 17.2% | 41.7% | 23.9% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.