Race 6B

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caleb Niles 10.7% 12.3% 11.2% 10.8% 10.9% 10.9% 9.7% 9.1% 5.3% 4.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 9.5% 9.3% 11.1% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 10.2% 8.2% 7.8% 6.1% 4.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Ben Rosenberg 18.1% 16.0% 15.1% 12.7% 10.7% 9.2% 7.1% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Hardy 3.5% 4.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 9.3% 12.0% 11.2% 9.8% 6.5% 1.2%
Matthew Wallace 13.5% 12.7% 12.1% 12.1% 11.9% 10.1% 8.8% 6.2% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.0% 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 10.2% 11.3% 10.8% 8.3% 7.9% 5.9% 0.9%
Miles Williams 17.2% 16.0% 13.6% 13.2% 11.1% 9.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Raymond Huffman 1.3% 2.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 10.7% 16.7% 32.2% 9.2%
Elizabeth Amelotte 4.4% 3.8% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.3% 7.0% 9.2% 8.6% 10.9% 11.1% 12.6% 10.6% 1.8%
Molly Hanrahan 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.8% 7.1% 8.2% 7.6% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 11.6% 8.3% 1.1%
Renato Korzinek 4.8% 4.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 4.7% 6.6% 8.1% 11.2% 10.2% 11.1% 12.2% 10.1% 1.5%
Matthew Cabot 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 12.4% 13.8% 13.5% 2.1%
Alex Kitay 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 7.1% 6.9% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.0% 10.7% 8.1% 3.9% 0.5%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 8.2% 81.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.