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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+1.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+2.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39-0.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.48+1.85vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.89+1.84vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.43-0.04vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.65-1.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.01-2.93vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.16vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-1.64-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Roger Williams University1.5532.2%1st Place
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4.46Brown University0.3710.3%1st Place
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2.52Roger Williams University1.3929.7%1st Place
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5.85Boston University-0.484.8%1st Place
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6.84Amherst College-0.893.0%1st Place
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5.96Fairfield University-0.435.2%1st Place
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5.83Bates College-0.655.2%1st Place
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5.07Northeastern University0.017.0%1st Place
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7.84University of New Hampshire-1.411.5%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University-1.641.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor McHugh | 32.2% | 28.9% | 19.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 10.3% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
Edward Herman | 29.7% | 28.1% | 19.5% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sage Andrews | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
James Knowlton | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
Jane Matthews | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
Greta Shuster | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
Isabella Cho | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
Devyn Weed | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 30.4% |
Olivia Blackmer | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.