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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor McHugh 32.2% 28.9% 19.0% 10.7% 5.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 10.3% 10.3% 15.7% 16.2% 16.0% 11.9% 9.0% 6.7% 3.2% 0.7%
Edward Herman 29.7% 28.1% 19.5% 12.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sage Andrews 4.8% 5.8% 7.4% 10.5% 14.0% 15.2% 14.9% 12.5% 10.0% 5.0%
James Knowlton 3.0% 3.4% 5.7% 7.1% 8.9% 11.3% 14.0% 15.3% 17.9% 13.5%
Jane Matthews 5.2% 5.2% 7.8% 10.0% 12.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.6% 11.9% 4.4%
Greta Shuster 5.2% 5.7% 7.8% 10.6% 13.6% 14.4% 14.6% 12.9% 10.6% 4.5%
Isabella Cho 7.0% 8.8% 11.5% 14.5% 13.4% 15.3% 13.2% 9.7% 4.9% 1.8%
Devyn Weed 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 4.7% 5.9% 7.0% 9.6% 13.6% 22.1% 30.4%
Olivia Blackmer 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 5.7% 8.4% 13.5% 19.2% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.