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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+4.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.52+2.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.61+0.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-0.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.95vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.41+0.57vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.41-0.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.10-3.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.04-5.82vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-1.57vs Predicted
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14Cornell University-1.25-0.88vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.41-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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4.62Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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6.95Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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11.43Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.12Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.28Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Work | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Field | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Layton | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 52.5% | 19.2% | 2.9% |
| Emily Bick | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 41.4% | 44.5% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 7.8% | 36.0% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.