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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.07+4.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.35+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+0.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.27+3.09vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.10+2.16vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.50+0.49vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42-0.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.18-0.78vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.24-4.84vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.78-0.41vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.08-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.13-4.46vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.71-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Boston College1.079.7%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University1.3512.3%1st Place
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4.08University of Rhode Island1.5917.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Rhode Island1.6116.9%1st Place
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8.09Boston University0.274.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University0.104.5%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College0.505.1%1st Place
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7.53Fairfield University0.425.3%1st Place
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8.22Salve Regina University0.184.8%1st Place
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5.16Northeastern University1.2411.8%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.781.6%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University-0.082.8%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont-0.133.9%1st Place
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13.5Middlebury College-2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Selldorff | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 17.1% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Alex Kitay | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 33.1% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Cabot | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
| Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.