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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.15+1.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01-0.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-1.05vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.15-1.18vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.35-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.18-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Roger Williams University2.150.2%1st Place
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1.99Brown University3.010.4%1st Place
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1.95Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
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3.82Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.24Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Gargula | 15.1% | 20.4% | 36.1% | 21.2% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 39.0% | 31.3% | 21.9% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 38.3% | 35.9% | 19.0% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 5.6% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 42.7% | 21.2% | 5.6% |
| Dylan Nelson | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 32.7% | 50.6% |
| Shane Baker | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 13.2% | 37.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.