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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.15+1.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01-0.02vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.35+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.18+1.05vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.15-1.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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1.98Brown University3.010.4%1st Place
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5.21Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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3.93Salve Regina University1.150.1%1st Place
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1.97Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Gargula | 15.0% | 20.9% | 36.2% | 20.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 39.0% | 33.1% | 19.2% | 8.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Nelson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 31.5% | 50.8% |
| Shane Baker | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 14.1% | 37.0% | 40.4% |
| Matthew Miranda | 5.8% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 40.8% | 24.2% | 7.5% |
| Casey Gowrie | 38.2% | 34.3% | 20.3% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.