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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+3.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+3.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.24+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.13+4.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.48+2.57vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.42+2.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.35-1.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.07-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.59-4.70vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.18-1.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.08-1.97vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College-0.43-1.83vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.10-4.48vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-2.71-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Rhode Island1.6116.7%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.2511.5%1st Place
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5.51Northeastern University1.2410.6%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont-0.134.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston University0.485.1%1st Place
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8.0Fairfield University0.424.5%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.3512.4%1st Place
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5.9Boston College1.078.4%1st Place
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4.3University of Rhode Island1.5915.3%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University0.183.4%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University-0.082.4%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College-0.432.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston University0.103.6%1st Place
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13.5Middlebury College-2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miles Williams | 16.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Max Katz-Christy | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Caleb Niles | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 2.0% |
William Wiegand | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
Nolan Cooper | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
Matthew Wallace | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Francis Selldorff | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Ben Rosenberg | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Molly Hanrahan | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 1.5% |
Matthew Cabot | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 2.3% |
Esteban Tarazona | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 26.3% | 5.9% |
Renato Korzinek | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 1.7% |
Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.