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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+9.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+9.90vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.49vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.51vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.38vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.11vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.71vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.29vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-3.39vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-4.24vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-3.51vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-5.86vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-6.84vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.02-8.15vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.81-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.07Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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12.9Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.11Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.71Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.61Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.76Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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13.5Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.