Race 10B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Miles Williams 14.4% 15.7% 14.3% 12.1% 10.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Rosenberg 16.8% 15.3% 13.6% 12.8% 10.4% 8.9% 7.1% 5.9% 4.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 8.8% 8.6% 8.9% 9.1% 10.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.6% 7.8% 8.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Caleb Niles 11.0% 11.2% 11.1% 10.8% 10.5% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 7.5% 5.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Max Katz-Christy 10.2% 10.2% 9.6% 10.0% 10.8% 11.8% 9.0% 8.5% 7.2% 5.9% 3.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
William Wiegand 5.3% 5.5% 5.0% 5.8% 7.9% 7.6% 9.0% 10.0% 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 7.3% 5.8% 0.5%
Molly Hanrahan 3.5% 3.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.8% 10.9% 12.2% 13.2% 11.8% 1.8%
Nolan Cooper 5.2% 5.9% 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 10.2% 10.8% 10.8% 9.7% 6.4% 0.8%
Matthew Wallace 13.2% 10.8% 12.2% 10.7% 10.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.2% 6.5% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Esteban Tarazona 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.4% 6.8% 8.6% 10.5% 14.3% 27.4% 5.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 5.4% 4.9% 6.9% 6.3% 6.2% 9.5% 10.2% 13.1% 13.5% 11.1% 1.8%
Renato Korzinek 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 5.4% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 9.2% 10.1% 12.3% 13.7% 11.7% 1.6%
Matthew Cabot 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.5% 8.0% 7.3% 8.7% 12.3% 16.3% 16.4% 3.0%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.6% 6.2% 84.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.