Race 11B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Rosenberg 16.2% 15.0% 14.7% 12.2% 11.2% 10.8% 7.3% 6.3% 3.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 9.0% 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 11.3% 9.4% 10.7% 10.2% 8.2% 6.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Caleb Niles 10.4% 10.1% 11.1% 11.6% 11.3% 10.8% 9.6% 8.5% 7.7% 5.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 13.6% 12.8% 12.0% 11.8% 11.6% 10.3% 8.6% 8.0% 5.4% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
William Wiegand 5.5% 5.2% 6.0% 7.4% 6.5% 7.4% 11.1% 10.1% 11.5% 12.5% 9.7% 6.7% 0.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 4.0% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 4.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.8% 10.6% 12.7% 15.1% 13.6% 2.3%
Miles Williams 17.0% 15.6% 14.0% 12.2% 11.5% 8.9% 7.6% 5.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 9.6% 12.2% 11.9% 11.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 9.3% 6.9% 5.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 5.3% 4.7% 6.0% 6.2% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.7% 12.0% 12.2% 11.3% 8.0% 0.8%
Molly Hanrahan 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.6% 10.3% 12.4% 14.3% 13.7% 1.8%
Matthew Cabot 2.9% 4.2% 3.5% 3.7% 4.5% 6.1% 5.5% 7.6% 9.7% 13.9% 17.2% 18.1% 3.1%
Esteban Tarazona 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 5.6% 6.3% 8.8% 10.8% 16.6% 29.9% 5.8%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 6.0% 85.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.