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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+7.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+6.40vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.92vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+1.15vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.81+4.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-1.51vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09+0.90vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.53vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-3.56vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-6.98vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-7.40vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-6.97vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.21Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.66Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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12.9Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.39Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 27.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 22.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.