Race 12B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ben Rosenberg 18.2% 16.6% 14.5% 12.5% 11.2% 9.3% 6.2% 5.0% 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Miles Williams 16.9% 15.7% 14.1% 11.3% 11.2% 10.2% 8.1% 5.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Francis Selldorff 9.1% 9.3% 9.2% 10.4% 9.4% 11.2% 10.4% 9.8% 8.3% 7.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Caleb Niles 9.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.0% 10.1% 10.8% 9.7% 9.2% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Esteban Tarazona 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 8.0% 10.5% 16.4% 29.1% 6.5%
Max Katz-Christy 10.2% 11.1% 11.1% 10.9% 10.2% 10.8% 11.0% 7.7% 7.5% 5.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 12.4% 10.9% 13.3% 11.3% 12.4% 11.1% 9.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
William Wiegand 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 10.1% 11.3% 12.2% 9.6% 7.0% 0.9%
Nolan Cooper 5.3% 4.5% 5.4% 5.7% 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 10.7% 12.6% 12.2% 10.7% 7.0% 0.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 6.5% 5.3% 7.0% 8.9% 10.8% 12.4% 15.2% 13.7% 2.3%
Matthew Cabot 3.3% 3.5% 2.9% 3.8% 4.4% 5.8% 6.1% 9.9% 9.0% 12.7% 17.4% 18.1% 3.2%
Molly Hanrahan 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 6.2% 6.2% 5.0% 7.5% 9.2% 11.3% 12.8% 15.1% 12.6% 1.7%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 8.0% 84.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.