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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+7.89vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+8.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.58vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.14vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.51vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+1.73vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+4.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91+0.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.70vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.83vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.55vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.98vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.71vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-4.28vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-7.34vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.97-7.95vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.81-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.51Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.5Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Maeve White | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.