← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.82+8.77vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.06+6.77vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.09+9.88vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.20vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+3.67vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.92+3.13vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.53+3.81vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.96vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.74-3.33vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.74vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.75-0.98vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College3.18-3.61vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.54vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College3.14-6.04vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.02-6.29vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.97-7.00vs Predicted
-
17Washington College1.81-3.20vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.91-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.77Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.77Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
12.88Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
9.2U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.13Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.81Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.67Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.02Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.39Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.96Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.0Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
13.8Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
9.07Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 19.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Maeve White | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 29.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.