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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.07+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.59+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+1.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35+0.84vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.18+3.19vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.24-0.72vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48-1.02vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.13-1.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College-0.43-1.51vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.08-3.28vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-2.71-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston College1.078.8%1st Place
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4.14University of Rhode Island1.5916.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Rhode Island1.6117.2%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University1.3513.8%1st Place
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8.19Salve Regina University0.183.1%1st Place
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5.28Northeastern University1.2410.1%1st Place
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5.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.2511.9%1st Place
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6.98Boston University0.485.8%1st Place
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7.44Fairfield University0.424.3%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont-0.133.8%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College-0.432.3%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University-0.082.7%1st Place
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12.53Middlebury College-2.710.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francis Selldorff | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
Ben Rosenberg | 16.1% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Miles Williams | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Matthew Wallace | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Molly Hanrahan | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 2.5% |
Caleb Niles | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Max Katz-Christy | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
William Wiegand | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 0.7% |
Nolan Cooper | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 0.9% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 2.1% |
Esteban Tarazona | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 29.1% | 5.7% |
Matthew Cabot | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 2.5% |
Sawyer Yasenchack | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.