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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Francis Selldorff 8.8% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 9.8% 7.2% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.1%
Ben Rosenberg 16.1% 16.1% 16.2% 11.2% 11.5% 9.6% 7.3% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Miles Williams 17.2% 15.7% 13.1% 14.1% 11.6% 8.2% 7.4% 5.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 13.8% 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 10.6% 10.5% 9.6% 8.2% 5.6% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 3.1% 4.2% 4.3% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 11.9% 12.0% 16.2% 12.1% 2.5%
Caleb Niles 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 12.9% 10.0% 12.2% 10.1% 9.4% 6.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Max Katz-Christy 11.9% 11.5% 11.2% 10.7% 10.6% 9.9% 9.8% 8.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
William Wiegand 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 8.0% 8.8% 8.2% 8.6% 9.9% 10.7% 10.4% 9.8% 6.8% 0.7%
Nolan Cooper 4.3% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 7.7% 8.4% 8.6% 10.1% 11.1% 12.8% 11.8% 7.3% 0.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.8% 3.8% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 5.9% 8.0% 9.2% 11.2% 14.1% 14.8% 14.4% 2.1%
Esteban Tarazona 2.3% 2.6% 2.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.5% 5.1% 6.2% 9.2% 11.2% 16.6% 29.1% 5.7%
Matthew Cabot 2.7% 2.5% 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 5.7% 6.7% 8.2% 11.1% 13.0% 16.4% 18.6% 2.5%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 2.0% 1.9% 6.5% 85.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.