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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+7.43vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.84vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+7.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+7.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.47vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81+5.53vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53+1.85vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.69vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-2.28vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.41vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.11vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.35vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.74-10.12vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.97-7.99vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.91-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.84Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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12.44Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.53Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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10.85Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.59Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 28.9% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.