Race 14B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Miles Williams 16.4% 14.4% 13.5% 13.9% 12.0% 9.6% 7.4% 5.2% 3.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Rosenberg 17.1% 14.1% 15.4% 12.2% 10.8% 10.2% 7.8% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 11.8% 13.8% 11.6% 11.9% 11.8% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 5.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 9.5% 10.9% 11.5% 10.4% 10.7% 10.4% 11.2% 7.8% 8.4% 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
William Wiegand 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 6.3% 7.8% 8.4% 9.2% 10.1% 11.0% 11.9% 10.6% 5.9% 0.8%
Francis Selldorff 8.8% 10.3% 9.7% 10.0% 10.0% 9.6% 11.0% 9.4% 7.8% 7.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Nolan Cooper 5.7% 5.6% 5.2% 7.3% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 9.7% 11.8% 11.2% 11.2% 8.1% 1.4%
Caleb Niles 11.8% 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 9.2% 11.2% 10.0% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Molly Hanrahan 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 6.1% 6.2% 11.1% 10.7% 14.0% 14.3% 13.8% 1.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 3.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.1% 6.4% 7.6% 8.7% 10.8% 12.7% 15.3% 14.0% 2.2%
Matthew Cabot 3.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 6.8% 7.1% 8.8% 10.9% 12.3% 15.1% 17.3% 2.8%
Esteban Tarazona 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 4.3% 6.0% 7.4% 9.9% 17.4% 30.0% 6.6%
Sawyer Yasenchack 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.9% 6.2% 84.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.