← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.48vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.53+9.12vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.71vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.82+5.45vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.74+0.80vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.10vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.92+2.12vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.09+4.50vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.91+0.17vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.18-1.80vs Predicted
-
11Washington College1.81+2.72vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.97-2.71vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College3.14-4.92vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.59vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island3.02-6.29vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College2.75-5.98vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College3.06-8.30vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.48U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
11.12Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.45Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.12Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
12.5Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
9.17Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
8.2Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
13.72Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
9.29Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.08Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.02Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.7Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 30.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.