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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+4.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77+2.86vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.61-0.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.04-0.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.10-2.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.52-4.15vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-2.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.41-4.23vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-1.58vs Predicted
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14Cornell University-1.25-0.89vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.41-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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4.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.85Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.84Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.42Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.11Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.27Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Field | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| John Work | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 6.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 51.6% | 19.0% | 3.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 41.6% | 44.5% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 7.3% | 36.0% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.