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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+1.37vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+2.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.39-0.43vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.89+2.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.48+0.84vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.01-0.98vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.65-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.41-0.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-1.64-0.77vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.43-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Roger Williams University1.5534.0%1st Place
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4.54Brown University0.378.9%1st Place
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2.57Roger Williams University1.3929.5%1st Place
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6.83Amherst College-0.892.9%1st Place
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5.84Boston University-0.484.9%1st Place
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5.02Northeastern University0.017.0%1st Place
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5.79Bates College-0.655.4%1st Place
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7.77University of New Hampshire-1.411.6%1st Place
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8.23Salve Regina University-1.641.0%1st Place
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6.04Fairfield University-0.434.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Connor McHugh | 34.0% | 28.1% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
Edward Herman | 29.5% | 25.6% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
James Knowlton | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 13.1% |
Sage Andrews | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
Isabella Cho | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
Greta Shuster | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
Devyn Weed | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 29.8% |
Olivia Blackmer | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 39.5% |
Jane Matthews | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.