← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Duke University0.48+2.33vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.98-0.55vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+0.54vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.24vs Predicted
-
5University of Georgia-1.51-0.03vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33Duke University0.489.2%1st Place
-
1.45College of Charleston1.9866.1%1st Place
-
3.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.197.4%1st Place
-
2.76Georgia Institute of Technology0.4113.9%1st Place
-
4.97University of Georgia-1.511.7%1st Place
-
4.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina Cassedy | 9.2% | 18.8% | 25.4% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 3.7% |
Charles Mckenzie | 66.1% | 24.8% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Phoebe Whitbeck | 7.4% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 6.6% |
Roberto Martelli | 13.9% | 31.2% | 29.5% | 17.5% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 29.3% | 44.6% |
Felicity Davies | 1.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 28.6% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.