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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+7.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.25vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+4.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.24vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+0.68vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92+0.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.74-4.00vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09+1.75vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.56vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-4.56vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.81vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-1.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-7.20vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-8.24vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.17Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.13Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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12.75Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.19Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.62Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Maeve White | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 19.7% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 28.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.