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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.81+12.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.24vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.39vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+3.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.54vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+1.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.03vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.35vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-7.31vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.14-6.13vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.09-2.51vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.97-7.02vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-7.01vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.53-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.71Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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5.69Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.87Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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12.49Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.98Boston College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 31.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Maeve White | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 17.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.