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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+7.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+7.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+8.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.46vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+8.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-0.30vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-0.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.97-0.86vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-0.97vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-3.65vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.12vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-5.11vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.14-6.87vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.49vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.82-7.35vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.09-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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13.42Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.13Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.65Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.43Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 27.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.