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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+8.77vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.63+7.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.48vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+3.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-0.49vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16+3.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+3.79vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.16-2.45vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-1.89vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.41vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.39vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.69-2.10vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-11.04vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-6.94vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.03-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.11Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.9Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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16.66Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Abby Preston | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 7.6% |
| Urska Kosir | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Cally Tullo | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 7.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.1% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.