← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.63+8.55vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.58+7.79vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.35+3.74vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.16+3.20vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.81vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.38+0.50vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+3.15vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.56+1.56vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.88vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.16+1.48vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.21-3.76vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.73-2.73vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.84-8.20vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University1.69-1.36vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.73-2.26vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.39vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-10.61vs Predicted
-
18Washington College0.03-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.55Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.79Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.74Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.2Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
6.5Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.56Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
11.48Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
-
7.24Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.27Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
4.8University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
12.64Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.74Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
10.61U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
16.67Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Preston | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cally Tullo | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 7.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 7.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.