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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.63+8.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+4.65vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.16+0.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-1.97vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.19vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73+1.88vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-1.56vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.69-0.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-4.66vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.73-6.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.37vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.03-0.20vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.16-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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12.77Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.34Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.9Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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16.8Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Preston | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.5% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Urska Kosir | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 7.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Cally Tullo | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 7.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 72.8% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.