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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.71vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+7.81vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+4.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.07vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.63+2.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.16-0.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.82vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.80vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-2.69vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.69-0.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.16-3.09vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-8.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-6.04vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.73-4.08vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.03-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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9.31Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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12.8Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.92Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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16.67Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abby Preston | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Urska Kosir | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Cally Tullo | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 8.4% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 7.6% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 11.0% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.