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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+9.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+8.31vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+2.49vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16+2.28vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+3.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38-0.52vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-4.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.63-1.53vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-1.97vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.16-1.96vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.58-4.67vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.73-2.25vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.69-2.97vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.03-0.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.28Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.02Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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13.03Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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16.82Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Cefali | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Abby Preston | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 7.2% |
| Cally Tullo | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 8.4% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 72.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.