← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.52+3.79vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.31+2.42vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.77+2.85vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.61-0.28vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.35-0.66vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.04-1.12vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.02vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.41-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.10-4.02vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.41-3.18vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University0.55-1.55vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University-1.25-0.89vs Predicted
-
15Bates College-1.41-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.79Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
-
4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.2%1st Place
-
5.42Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
6.85Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
4.72Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
5.34Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.88University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
-
7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
7.88Tufts University2.410.1%1st Place
-
5.98Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.82Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
-
11.45Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
-
13.11Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
13.28Bates College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 15.1% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Layton | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Field | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 8.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Work | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 52.7% | 18.9% | 3.1% |
| Emily Bick | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.1% | 9.0% | 41.7% | 44.5% |
| Michael Coleman | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 7.4% | 36.3% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.