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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.43+1.27vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.64+1.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+0.65vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.47+1.53vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.67+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.93+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.97vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.69-0.13vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.74-3.05vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.02-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Roger Williams University1.4337.5%1st Place
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3.14Boston University0.6421.3%1st Place
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3.65Brown University0.4515.2%1st Place
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5.53Northeastern University-0.475.8%1st Place
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6.08Bates College-0.674.1%1st Place
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6.14University of New Hampshire-0.934.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.3%1st Place
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7.87Amherst College-1.691.8%1st Place
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5.95Fairfield University-0.744.7%1st Place
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8.33Salve Regina University-2.021.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Jed Lory | 37.5% | 27.6% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Buck Rathbun | 21.3% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Quinn Brighton | 15.2% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
Amanda Yolles | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 6.2% |
Ian McCaffrey | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
Adrian Whitney | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 23.4% | 29.6% |
Timothy Cronin | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
Victoria Sikorjak | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 20.3% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.