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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+1.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston0.94-0.34vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+1.44vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-1.76-0.47vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Duke University0.0624.5%1st Place
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1.66College of Charleston0.9453.7%1st Place
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4.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.684.6%1st Place
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3.44Georgia Institute of Technology-0.739.6%1st Place
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4.53University of Georgia-1.763.8%1st Place
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4.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.613.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 24.5% | 35.1% | 23.4% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Christofor Tella | 53.7% | 30.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Drew Davey | 4.6% | 6.3% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 29.8% | 26.9% |
| Tan Tonge | 9.6% | 15.0% | 27.7% | 24.6% | 16.3% | 6.9% |
| Jake Tipper | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 24.7% | 32.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 25.3% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.