← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston0.94+0.66vs Predicted
-
2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+1.41vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68+1.48vs Predicted
-
4Duke University0.06-1.64vs Predicted
-
5University of Georgia-1.76-0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.66College of Charleston0.9454.3%1st Place
-
3.41Georgia Institute of Technology-0.738.8%1st Place
-
4.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.684.3%1st Place
-
2.36Duke University0.0624.6%1st Place
-
4.5University of Georgia-1.764.1%1st Place
-
4.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.613.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christofor Tella | 54.3% | 29.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 8.8% | 17.1% | 27.8% | 23.8% | 15.7% | 6.9% |
| Drew Davey | 4.3% | 5.5% | 12.3% | 21.7% | 27.7% | 28.4% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 24.6% | 35.2% | 24.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Jake Tipper | 4.1% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 26.2% | 30.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 3.9% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 25.9% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.