← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.16+6.49vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+8.38vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.56+6.94vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.84+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.38+1.49vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.32vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.58+2.57vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.82vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.55vs Predicted
-
10Washington College0.03+6.82vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.63-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University1.69+1.25vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.35-6.55vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.21-7.13vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.13vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.73-7.00vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.80-4.33vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.16-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.49Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
-
10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.94Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
4.89University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
6.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.57Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
16.82Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.56Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
-
13.25Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.87Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.0Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
-
12.67Connecticut College1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.08Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 11.2% | 71.6% |
| Abby Preston | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Cally Tullo | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 9.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Eliza Garry | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 6.8% |
| Amanda Sommi | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.