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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.16+6.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.69+11.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.06vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73+2.97vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.91vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-1.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.58+0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.90vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.56-1.25vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.63-2.26vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.80-0.58vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.34vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.94vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.03+0.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.20vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.16-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.24Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.72Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.97Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.74Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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12.42Connecticut College1.800.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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16.78Washington College0.030.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cally Tullo | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 8.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Abby Preston | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Eliza Garry | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 7.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Siobhan Ryan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 72.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.