← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jed Lory 37.5% 29.1% 17.0% 9.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Buck Rathbun 20.9% 20.6% 22.1% 15.2% 10.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Brighton 14.4% 17.1% 18.1% 17.7% 13.8% 9.4% 5.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Gabrielle Ahitow 5.9% 7.2% 9.8% 12.0% 13.2% 14.5% 14.6% 11.8% 7.4% 3.5%
Timothy Cronin 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 9.2% 12.5% 12.8% 14.6% 14.1% 12.5% 5.9%
Lucas Wiatrowski 4.1% 5.2% 6.5% 10.0% 11.1% 13.8% 14.6% 15.4% 13.8% 5.5%
Ian McCaffrey 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 9.9% 11.8% 14.0% 14.6% 15.2% 11.2% 5.1%
Amanda Yolles 3.3% 5.5% 7.2% 9.7% 12.1% 13.7% 14.8% 14.8% 12.8% 6.2%
Adrian Whitney 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 4.0% 5.8% 7.4% 9.6% 13.1% 22.4% 30.9%
Victoria Sikorjak 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 6.0% 7.7% 11.7% 19.1% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.