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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.43+1.23vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.64+1.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+0.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.47+1.49vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.74+1.02vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.93+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-1.05vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.67-1.84vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-1.69-1.14vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.02-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Roger Williams University1.4337.5%1st Place
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3.11Boston University0.6420.9%1st Place
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3.7Brown University0.4514.4%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University-0.475.9%1st Place
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6.02Fairfield University-0.745.1%1st Place
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6.17University of New Hampshire-0.934.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.975.7%1st Place
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6.16Bates College-0.673.3%1st Place
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7.86Amherst College-1.691.9%1st Place
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8.3Salve Regina University-2.021.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Jed Lory | 37.5% | 29.1% | 17.0% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Buck Rathbun | 20.9% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Quinn Brighton | 14.4% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
Timothy Cronin | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
Ian McCaffrey | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
Amanda Yolles | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
Adrian Whitney | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 30.9% |
Victoria Sikorjak | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.