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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+1.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.23+1.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-0.58vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-0.11vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.99+0.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.82vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.13-1.45vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Northeastern University1.2632.1%1st Place
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3.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7222.2%1st Place
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3.47Salve Regina University0.4617.8%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island-0.099.4%1st Place
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6.7University of New Hampshire-1.233.1%1st Place
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5.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.476.4%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.423.0%1st Place
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8.44Middlebury College-1.991.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.392.2%1st Place
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8.55Fairfield University-2.131.6%1st Place
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9.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.631.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 32.1% | 28.0% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 22.2% | 21.8% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 17.8% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Seth Pardi | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 20.9% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| Ilya McCune-Pedit | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 21.6% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.