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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26-0.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.09-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.23+0.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.04vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.99-0.48vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.13-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Salve Regina University0.4616.0%1st Place
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3.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7222.1%1st Place
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2.4Northeastern University1.2633.2%1st Place
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5.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.476.2%1st Place
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4.57University of Rhode Island-0.0911.1%1st Place
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6.75University of New Hampshire-1.233.0%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.392.6%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.422.7%1st Place
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8.52Middlebury College-1.991.2%1st Place
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8.62Fairfield University-2.131.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 16.0% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 22.1% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 33.2% | 27.1% | 20.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 22.2% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 22.3% |
| Victoria Thompson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.