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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+2.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+0.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island-0.09-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.23+0.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-0.03vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.75vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.99-0.53vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-2.13-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Salve Regina University0.4617.8%1st Place
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2.4Northeastern University1.2634.4%1st Place
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3.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7221.9%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.475.9%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island-0.098.4%1st Place
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6.78University of New Hampshire-1.232.5%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.423.5%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.392.5%1st Place
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8.47Middlebury College-1.991.1%1st Place
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8.59Fairfield University-2.131.2%1st Place
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9.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 17.8% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 34.4% | 25.7% | 19.7% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 21.9% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Meghan Berg | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 21.6% |
| Samantha Gulachenski | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 23.8% |
| Victoria Thompson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.