← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.77+2.40vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University2.28+0.70vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.47+0.99vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University2.21-1.12vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.55-1.14vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary0.84-1.09vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-0.49-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.4George Washington University1.770.2%1st Place
-
2.7Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.99George Washington University1.470.1%1st Place
-
2.88Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
-
3.86Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
-
4.91William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
-
6.25Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Spector | 18.0% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 2.8% |
| Veronica Maccari | 27.3% | 24.6% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Madison Oleson | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 16.3% | 5.8% |
| Austin Powers | 24.2% | 22.5% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Annie Eckmann | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 5.7% |
| Samuel Keesee | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 32.5% | 16.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 14.6% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.