Race 4B

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Egeli 21.5% 20.6% 19.9% 16.6% 10.7% 6.2% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 32.9% 28.0% 18.1% 11.3% 5.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 17.0% 18.6% 19.1% 16.8% 13.3% 9.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Spencer Asofsky 9.6% 10.2% 13.0% 15.7% 14.8% 13.8% 11.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
Kennard MacVaugh 2.9% 3.3% 4.4% 5.3% 9.2% 10.3% 13.0% 15.0% 15.8% 13.1% 7.6%
Seth Pardi 5.3% 7.1% 9.2% 11.2% 14.2% 15.4% 14.4% 11.3% 7.5% 3.5% 0.7%
Will Rudaz 2.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.9% 9.5% 11.6% 13.5% 16.0% 14.9% 11.3% 6.1%
Samantha Gulachenski 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 4.1% 5.7% 6.8% 9.8% 13.7% 20.6% 31.5%
Meghan Berg 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 6.0% 8.0% 9.2% 13.9% 14.1% 15.4% 15.7% 9.6%
Andy Giaya 3.1% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 6.6% 10.2% 11.9% 14.9% 14.4% 15.3% 10.7%
Evelyn Lane 1.4% 1.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.8% 5.6% 7.1% 10.2% 13.7% 18.9% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.