Race 5B

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Monaghan 34.3% 24.7% 18.1% 11.6% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 22.0% 20.5% 19.9% 15.2% 10.7% 7.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 16.7% 18.1% 18.6% 15.8% 14.6% 8.5% 4.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Meghan Berg 1.8% 2.8% 4.3% 6.5% 8.1% 9.3% 12.9% 14.3% 15.3% 15.2% 9.6%
Will Rudaz 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 9.2% 10.4% 13.2% 14.6% 15.0% 12.2% 6.9%
Seth Pardi 5.1% 8.2% 9.4% 11.9% 12.0% 14.8% 14.2% 11.3% 7.6% 4.2% 1.1%
Spencer Asofsky 8.8% 10.5% 12.5% 16.2% 16.0% 13.9% 11.4% 5.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Kennard MacVaugh 2.9% 3.7% 4.0% 5.9% 7.5% 10.8% 13.2% 16.1% 13.7% 14.5% 7.7%
Samantha Gulachenski 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 6.3% 7.9% 9.7% 13.3% 18.1% 33.0%
Andy Giaya 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 5.2% 7.1% 9.2% 12.5% 13.3% 17.3% 14.5% 10.8%
Evelyn Lane 1.3% 2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 4.6% 6.4% 6.6% 10.6% 13.2% 19.8% 30.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.