Race 6B

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emil Tullberg 17.1% 16.4% 18.4% 18.1% 14.4% 8.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Monaghan 33.4% 27.5% 17.2% 10.8% 6.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 22.1% 21.2% 21.1% 14.4% 10.9% 5.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Seth Pardi 5.5% 7.6% 9.1% 11.4% 14.2% 15.6% 13.6% 11.3% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1%
Meghan Berg 2.5% 3.3% 4.0% 5.6% 8.2% 9.8% 12.0% 13.8% 16.0% 15.2% 9.5%
Kennard MacVaugh 2.7% 4.2% 4.5% 6.9% 7.8% 10.8% 14.1% 13.7% 14.5% 12.2% 8.7%
Andy Giaya 1.8% 2.7% 4.6% 4.6% 6.6% 9.2% 13.2% 14.2% 16.2% 16.4% 10.5%
Will Rudaz 3.1% 3.8% 5.6% 6.5% 8.0% 12.2% 14.1% 16.4% 13.5% 10.8% 6.1%
Spencer Asofsky 9.1% 10.0% 11.7% 16.5% 16.1% 14.6% 10.2% 7.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Evelyn Lane 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 5.3% 7.2% 10.1% 14.1% 21.1% 30.9%
Samantha Gulachenski 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 5.3% 8.0% 9.8% 13.9% 19.8% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.