Race 7B

central-series-march-27

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Monaghan 33.6% 26.1% 18.9% 11.3% 6.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 21.8% 21.4% 19.9% 14.7% 10.9% 6.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 15.2% 19.6% 18.6% 17.9% 12.5% 7.9% 5.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Will Rudaz 3.3% 3.5% 5.3% 6.3% 8.6% 13.2% 12.9% 15.2% 14.6% 10.9% 6.2%
Meghan Berg 2.4% 3.2% 4.2% 5.8% 8.8% 10.1% 12.3% 14.1% 15.4% 14.2% 9.4%
Spencer Asofsky 9.0% 10.2% 13.2% 15.2% 16.0% 14.4% 10.1% 7.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Seth Pardi 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 11.8% 13.4% 14.1% 16.0% 10.7% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9%
Samantha Gulachenski 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 5.6% 6.8% 10.2% 14.3% 19.4% 32.6%
Andy Giaya 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 5.0% 6.8% 9.8% 12.8% 14.1% 17.1% 16.7% 10.2%
Kennard MacVaugh 3.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.9% 9.4% 9.8% 12.0% 16.2% 13.2% 14.5% 7.8%
Evelyn Lane 1.9% 1.9% 1.5% 3.0% 3.4% 6.4% 7.2% 9.3% 13.5% 19.1% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.