Race 1A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 22.8% 19.8% 18.4% 13.9% 10.9% 8.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 14.0% 13.5% 14.1% 13.2% 12.0% 11.5% 10.1% 6.6% 4.0% 1.0%
Jack Viscuso 12.3% 13.0% 12.9% 13.7% 12.8% 12.3% 10.5% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2%
Caroline Grin 7.0% 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 9.8% 12.1% 14.5% 14.3% 13.4% 5.9%
Brittany Shabino 9.7% 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 11.9% 13.1% 11.2% 10.7% 6.7% 3.2%
Joseph Gallagher 17.8% 17.0% 15.1% 14.5% 12.8% 9.3% 7.1% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Cecilia Patrick 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 7.4% 11.2% 17.6% 43.2%
Nok In Chan 4.2% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 7.1% 9.1% 12.1% 15.7% 19.9% 17.3%
Kate Crannell 3.4% 3.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 8.8% 10.2% 13.9% 21.4% 21.9%
Emily Williams 6.6% 8.2% 7.6% 10.7% 11.8% 11.0% 13.4% 14.0% 10.9% 5.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.