Race 2A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Shabino 10.2% 9.5% 11.1% 12.0% 11.7% 11.8% 12.5% 11.0% 7.6% 2.6%
Jack Viscuso 14.0% 12.5% 13.6% 12.0% 13.3% 11.0% 10.9% 7.1% 4.3% 1.3%
Joseph Gallagher 19.2% 17.0% 14.3% 14.0% 12.0% 9.5% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.3%
Billy Vogel 21.4% 22.0% 17.6% 14.1% 10.8% 7.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Kate Crannell 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.3% 7.6% 8.6% 10.6% 14.5% 19.8% 20.4%
Caroline Grin 6.5% 7.8% 8.1% 8.5% 10.5% 12.9% 12.8% 13.6% 11.9% 7.3%
Luke Koerschner 12.6% 13.2% 13.9% 14.4% 11.5% 11.8% 10.2% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6%
Nok In Chan 4.2% 3.6% 4.5% 6.0% 7.0% 9.0% 11.1% 16.1% 19.8% 18.6%
Cecilia Patrick 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 4.5% 5.7% 6.9% 11.1% 19.1% 42.2%
Emily Williams 7.0% 7.8% 9.2% 9.4% 10.9% 12.3% 13.8% 13.1% 11.2% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.