Race 3A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Shabino 8.1% 9.5% 10.3% 10.9% 11.1% 14.2% 12.9% 13.2% 7.1% 2.6%
Joseph Gallagher 19.0% 17.9% 14.8% 14.1% 11.3% 9.4% 7.1% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Billy Vogel 23.2% 20.3% 17.1% 13.9% 10.4% 7.6% 3.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 13.1% 13.3% 14.5% 13.1% 12.6% 11.4% 9.8% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6%
Edwin Becker 3.8% 5.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 11.1% 13.9% 21.5% 19.9%
Jack Viscuso 11.8% 13.1% 13.1% 13.5% 12.7% 12.0% 10.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.7%
Caroline Grin 7.5% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.7% 12.0% 14.1% 11.2% 12.8% 6.3%
Cecilia Patrick 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 5.6% 6.9% 11.8% 18.7% 41.9%
Kate Crannell 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 11.4% 15.0% 20.2% 19.5%
Emily Williams 7.3% 7.1% 9.0% 9.8% 12.4% 12.9% 12.6% 13.1% 9.9% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.